標題: [硬件] Rumoured Desktop Processor Roadmap for Intel / AMD in 2007 (7/11/07) [打印本頁] 作者: qcmadness 時間: 2006-11-19 18:47 標題: Rumoured Desktop Processor Roadmap for Intel / AMD in 2007 (7/11/07)
The information / rumour collected below is from Dailytech / Anandtech, HKEPC news and X-Bit news and is subjected to changes over time. I hope this can help all of us about upcoming Intel / AMD products in 2007.
Last updated: 7th November 2007
This is the last update for this article. I will focus on the 2008 roadmap from now on. Thank you very much for the support of this article.
Content:
1. Intel Processors
2. AMD Processors
3. Current and future pricing
4. About the manufacturing side
5. Reference
Recent edit: Updated AMD model numbers and Phenom series, fixed Brisbane issue, updated Phenom pricing
Special thanks to Jeda (HKEPC forum), Wombat2 (TG Forum, 2 times), qOJDO (TG Forum), wa2000 (HKEPC forum), xtreme2k (HKEPC forum), 死得*冇者回龜 (HKEPC forum) for corrections and updates.
1. Intel processors: a. Core 2 Duo E4x00 series
Release time: E4300 (phased out), E4400, E4500, E4600 (selling)
Code name: Allendale (stepping L2, M0)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 2MB shared
Clock speeds: 1.8GHz (E4300), 2.0GHz (E4400), 2.2GHz (E4500), 2.4GHz (E4600)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 800MHz FSB (6.4GB/s)
Other specifications: no Virtualization Technology
Expected price: E4400 - $113, E4500 - $113, E4600 - $133
Expected market position: to replace Pentium D
My commemt: As the FSB is only 800MHz, they are expected to overclock well. The aggressive pricing strategies of Intel will give a hard time on AMD, as E4x00 series have a higher performance than similar priced Athlon64 x2s.
b. Core 2 Quad Q6x00
Release time: selling
Code name: Kentsfield (stepping B3, G0)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 4
L2 cache size: 2 blocks of 4MB shared
Clock speeds: 2.4GHz (Q6600), 2.66GHz (Q6700)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1066MHz FSB (8.5GB/s)
Other specifications: (none)
Expected price: Q6600 - $266, Q6700 - $530
Expected market position: new position
My commemt: The aggressive pricing for them are giving a hard time on AMD. Another sweet spots are the low-end Xeon 3210 (2.13GHz) and 3220 (2.4GHz), which are sold at lower prices than C2Qs ($224 for X3210). The new Xeons are expected to be very price-competitive. With a new stepping (G0), the quad-cores are expected to be cooler and more overclockable.
c. Core 2 Quad QX68x0
Release time: selling
Code name: Kentsfield (stepping B3, G0)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 4
L2 cache size: 2 blocks of 4MB shared
Clock speeds: 2.93GHz (QX6800), 3.0GHz (QX6850)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: QX6800 - 1066MHz FSB (8.5GB/s), QX6850 - 1333MHz FSB (10.7GB/s)
Other specifications: unlocked multiplier
Expected price: QX6800 - $999, QX6850 - $999
Expected market position: to replace QX6700
My commemt: An upgraded version of QX6700. The 1066MHz version and the 1333MHz FSB version should have similar performance, according to Tom\'s Hardware\'s test on Core 2 Quad QX6700 at 1066MHz FSB and 1333MHz FSB.
d. Core 2 Duo E6320 / E6420
Release time: selling
Code name: Conroe (stepping B2)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 4MB shared
Clock speeds: 1.86GHz (E6320), 2.13GHz (E6420)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1066MHz FSB (8.5GB/s)
Other specifications: (none)
Expected price: E6320 - $163, E6420 - $183
Expected market position: to replace E6300 and E6400.
My commemt: Intel plans to phase out these two processors. Not much to mention here.
e. Pentium E21x0 series
Release time: E2140, E2160 (selling), E2180 (Q3 or Q4)
Code name: Allendale (stepping L2, M0)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 1MB shared
Clock speeds: 1.6GHz (E2140), 1.8GHz (E2160), 2.0GHz (E2180)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 800MHz FSB (6.4GB/s)
Other specifications: no Virtualization Technology
Expected price: E2140 - $71 (rumoured to be $64 in Q3), E2160 - $84 ($74 in Q3 or Q4), E2180 - $84 (Q3 or Q4)
Expected market position: to replace Pentium D
My commemt: They are the cut-down versions of Core 2 Duo E4x00 series. The performance of them are similar to slightly higher clocked Athlon64 x2s with a slightly better value. As their FSB is only 800MHz, they are expected to overclock well.
f. Celeron 4x0 series
Release time: Selling
Code name: Conroe-L (stepping A1)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 1
L2 cache size: 512KB
Clock speeds: 1.6GHz (C420), 1.8GHz (C430), 2.0GHz (C440)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 800MHz FSB (6.4GB/s)
Other specifications: no Virtualization Technology
Expected price: C420 - $39, C430 - $49, C440 - $59
Expected market position: to replace Celeron D
My commemt: They are the only single core CPUs in the Intel roadmap. They perform well against slightly higher-clocked single-core K8 Semprons and Athlon64s. There is a chance of extreme overclocking.
g. Core 2 Duo E6x50 series
Release time: Selling
Code name: Conroe (stepping G0)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 4MB shared
Clock speeds: 2.33GHz (E6550), 2.66GHz (E6750), 3.00GHz (E6850)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1333MHz FSB (10.7GB/s)
Other specifications: Trusted Execution Technology
Expected price: E6550 - $163, E6750 - $183, E6850 - $266
Expected market position: to replace E6x00 and E6x20
My commemt: As the X-Bit Labs report showed that only 1-2% gains in performance for 1333MHz FSB over 1066MHz FSB, the major reason for releasing these products is to make more money from upgrading FSB. A new stepping (G0) helps the chips to gain more overclock headroom with slightly lower power consumptions. There are spectulations that these CPUs will be short-lived after 45nm CPUs are ramped up fast in early 2008.
h. Core 2 Duo E6540 series
Release time: Selling
Code name: Conroe (stepping G0)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 4MB shared
Clock speeds: 2.33GHz
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1333MHz FSB (10.7GB/s)
Other specifications: no Trusted Execution Technology
Expected price: $163
Expected market position: to replace E6x00 and E6x20
My commemt: Same as Core 2 Duo E6x50. But since it has the same price as E6550, I would recommend E6550 instead of E6540.
i. Core 2 Quad QX9650
Release time: 12th Nov
Code name: Yorkfield (unknown stepping)
Fabrication process: 45nm
Number of Cores: 4
L2 cache size: 2 blocks of 3MB or 6MB shared
Clock speeds: 3GHz
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1333MHz FSB (10.7GB/s)
Other specifications: SSE4.1, enhanced Virtualization Technology
Expected price: $999
Expected market position: to replace 65nm Core 2 Quad series
My commemt: Revised Core 2 Quad products. According to HKEPC\'s preview, the performance per clock will increase by around 5-20%. And the processor runs cooler also. The higher frequency for the series will maintain the lead of Intel over AMD.
2. AMD processors: a. Athlon64 FX 4x4 series
Release time: FX-70, FX-72 (phased out), FX-74 (selling)
Code name: Santa Rosa / Windsor (revision F3)
Fabrication process: 90nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 2 blocks of 1MB
Clock speeds: 2.6GHz (FX-70), 2.8GHz (FX-72), 3.0GHz (FX-74)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1GHz HTT (8GB/s)
Other specifications: two dual-core CPUs in a pack
Expected price: FX-74 - $599
Expected market position: new position
My commemt: Knee-jerk reaction with Intel new dual-core and quad-core processors. Not even a peep at them.
b. Athlon64 x2 series
Release time: x2 3600+ (phased out), x2 4000+, x2 4400+, x2 4800+, x2 5000+ (selling), x2 5200+
Code name: Brisbane (revision G1, G2)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 2 blocks of 512KB
Clock speeds: 1.9GHz, (x2 3600+), 2.1GHz (x2 4000+), 2.3GHz (x2 4400+), 2.5GHz (x2 4800+), 2.6GHz (x2 5000+), 2.7GHz (x2 5200+)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1GHz HTT (8GB/s)
Other specifications: 0.5x multiplier
Expected price: x2 3600+ - phased out, x2 4000+ - $68, x2 4400+ - $89, x2 4800+ - $104, x2 5000+ - $115, x2 5200+ - $125
Expected market position: to replace the 90nm products
My commemt: The 65nm versions of Athlon x2 series. They are cooler but not much better in overclocking than 90nm ones. The new introduction of 0.5x multiplier helps AMD to have more products within the small speed bins, but it seems that AMD will not make use of this to release more products. The 65nm products are slower than the 90nm ones as they have higher L2 latencies and worse memory frequencies. The Athlon64 x2 5200+ is not officially announced but is present.
c. Athlon64 x2 6000+
Release time: x2 6000+(selling)
Code name: Windsor (revision F3)
Fabrication process: 90nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 2 blocks of 1MB
Clock speeds: x2 6000+ - 3.0GHz
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1GHz HTT (8GB/s)
Other specifications: (none)
Expected price: x2 6000+ - $167
Expected market position: to compete with high-end Core 2 Duos
My commemt: x2 6000+ is slightly more expensive and higher power consumption than E6600 at similar performance, but maybe remarkable to AMD for first "mainstream" 3GHz offering. x2 6000+ may become less power hungry as AMD may introduce 89W x2 6000+ later.
d. Athlon64 / Athlon LE series
Release time: 3500+, 3800+ (phased out), LE-1600, LE-1620 (selling)
Code name: Lima (revision G1)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 1
L2 cache size: 512KB (3500+, 3800+), 1MB (LE-1600, LE-1620)
Clock speeds: 2.2GHz (3500+, LE-1600), 2.4GHz (3800+, LE-1620)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1GHz HTT (8GB/s)
Other specifications: (none)
Expected price: 3500+, 3800+ - phased out, LE-1600 - $47, LE-1620 - $53
Expected market position: to replace 90nm products
My commemt: The 65nm versions of Athlon64 series. They should be cooler and overclock better than 90nm ones. The new Athlon LE series boast 1MB of L2 cache, but it seems that Celeron 4x0 series and cheap dual-core CPUs will kill this product line.
e. Athlon x2 BE series
Release time: BE-2300, BE-2350, BE-2400 (Selling)
Code name: Brisbane (revision G1, G2)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 2 blocks of 512KB
Clock speeds: 1.9GHz, (BE-2300), 2.1GHz (BE-2350), 2.3GHz (BE-2400)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1GHz HTT (8GB/s)
Other specifications: 0.5x multiplier (x2 5000+ BE), unlocked multiplier
Expected price: BE-2300 - $91, BE-2350 - $96, BE-2400 - $104
Expected market position: to replace 90nm energy efficient products
My commemt: The low-voltage edition of Athlon64 x2 65nm products. The overclock-ability may be lower than the standard edition. The higher prices for Ax2 BE series are not so competitive. Surprisingly, these processors got a price increase in October ($5 raise for BE-2300 and BE-2350).
f. Sempron LE series
Release time: LE-1100, LE-1150, LE-1200, LE-1250 (selling)
Code name: Sparta (revision G1, G2)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 1
L2 cache size: 256KB (LE-1100, LE-1150), 512KB (LE-1200, LE-1250)
Clock speeds: 1.9GHz (LE-1100), 2.0GHz (LE-1150), 2.1GHz (LE-1200), 2.2GHz (LE-1250)
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 800MHz HTT (6.4GB/s)
Other specifications: no Virtualization
Expected price: LE-1100 - $37, LE-1150 - $42, LE-1200 - $48, LE-1250 - $53
Expected market position: to replace 90nm products and single-core Athlon64 products
My commemt: The 65nm versions of Sempron series with lower TDP values of 45W. Not much to mention here. LE-1100 and LE-1150 may be for emerging market only. Surprisingly, these processors got a price increase in October ($5 raise for LE-1150).
g. Athlon64 x2 Black Edition
Release time: x2 5000+ BE, x2 6400+ BE (selling)
Code name: x2 6400+ BE - Windsor (revision F3), x2 5000+ BE - Brisbane (revision G1)
Fabrication process: 65nm (x2 5000+ BE), 90nm (x2 6400+ BE)
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 2 blocks of 512KB (x2 5000+ BE), 2 blocks of 1MB (x2 6400+ BE)
Clock speeds: x2 5000+ BE - 2.6GHz, x2 6400+ BE - 3.2GHz
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 1GHz HTT (8GB/s)
Other specifications: unlocked multiplier, half multiplier (x2 5000+ BE only)
Expected price: x2 5000+ BE - $136, x2 6400+ BE - $220
Expected market position: to compete with high-end Core 2 Duos
My commemt: In my opinion, introducing x2 5000+ BE and x2 6400+ BE is a complete waste of time as AMD should gear up for next generation architecture CPUs\' launch.
h. Phenom 9x00 series
Release time: 9500, 9600, 9700 (19th Nov)
Code name: Agena (unknown revision)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 4
L2 cache size: 4 blocks of 512KB
L3 cache size: 2MB shared
Clock speeds: 9500 - 2.2GHz, 9600 - 2.3GHz, 9700 - 2.4GHz
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 3.6GHz HTT (14.4GB/s(?))
Other specifications: separate power planes, NUMA memory controllers, Socket AM2+, SSE4A
Expected price: 9500 - $280, 9600 - $320, 9700 - $330
Expected market position: new position
My commemt: From the Barcelona\'s benchmark, the new Phenom series will not be competitive to top-models of Core Arch. CPUs. From the price, Q6600 seems to be a better choice.
i. Athlon 6x00 series
Release time: rumoured to be in Q4
Code name: Kuma (unknown revision)
Fabrication process: 65nm
Number of Cores: 2
L2 cache size: 2 blocks of 512KB
L3 cache size: 2MB shared
Clock speeds: rumoured to be 2.0GHz-2.4GHz
Processor-to-northbridge speed: 3.6GHz HTT (14.4GB/s(?))
Other specifications: separate power planes, NUMA memory controllers, Socket AM2+, SSE4A
Expected price: unknown
Expected market position: to replace high-end Athlon64 x2 series
My commemt: TFrom the Barcelona\'s benchmark, the new Phenom series will not be competitive to top-models of Core Arch. CPUs. But from the pricing point of view, AMD may an edge with low prices of processors sold.
3. Current and future Intel and AMD pricing 1. Intel: Current
Quad-core CPUs
QX6850: $999
QX6800: $999
QX6700: phased out
Q6700: $530
Q6600: $266
4. About the manufacturing side: 1. Intel
They are now leading in CPU performance and power consumption. The transition to 45nm is healthy as Intel will announce 45nm server processors on 12th November. Intel will have 4 fabrication plants with 45nm technology in 2008.
2. AMD
They are ramping up 65nm products slowly. Fab 30 is still producing CPU with 90nm fabriacation process. AMD has announced a cut in capital expansion expenses and the transition plan for Fab 30 is not clear now. With the $3.7B Convertible Senior Notes, AMD repayed the debt from Morgan Stanley last year and some restrictions of the debt have ceased. Now AMD should be more flexible for capital expansion and other financial activities.
